Saturday, June 30, 2007

Long Term Trading - Entries

I entered in 2 new Long-Term positions on Friday. They are both reported in this post.

Long Sep 07 Copper : Entered on June 29thLong: 3,4340 -- Initial Stop: 3,2890 -- Objective: 3.9870

Bullish in Screen I - Pullback to value in Screen II - Entry Set-up 1 in Screen III


Long Sep 07 Euro: Entered on June 29thLong: 1,3553 -- Initial Stop: 1,3415 -- Objective: 1.3910

Bullish in Screen I - Pullback to value in Screen II - Entry Set-up 1 in Screen III.

Wednesday, June 27, 2007

Trade Nbr. 60 - 2007

Long Aug 07 Crude Oil : Entered on June 27th - Closed on June 27th.

Long: 68.84 -- Initial Stop: 68.56 -- Sold : 69.08 -- Result: 0,86R

Bullish in Screen I - Pullback to value in Screen II - Entry Set-up 1 in Screen III - Stopped by my trailing stop.

Comments: The market was not willing to give more...... The initial stop was slightly too loose I could have increased my position size accordingly...

Trade Nbr. 59 - 2007

Long Sep 07 Wheat : Entered on June 27th - Closed on June 27th.

Long: 631 4/8 -- Initial Stop: 625 6/8 -- Sold : 630 4/8 -- Result: -0,18R

Bullish in Screen I - Pullback to value in Screen II - Entry Set-up 1 in Screen III - Stopped by my trailing stop.

Comments: Good exit !! Difficult market....

Tuesday, June 26, 2007

Trade Nbr. 58 - 2007

Short Sep 07 E-mini S&P: Entered on June 26th - Closed on June 26th.

Short: 1513.50 -- Initial Stop: 1518.50 -- Covered: 1507.50-- Result: 1,20R

Bearish in Screen I - Pullback to value in Screen II - Entry Set-up 1 in Screen III - Covered as my trailing stop was hit.....

Comments : Frustrating trade... Still struggling with my exits !! My current trailing technique was not effective in this case but I will continue to apply it before drawing any conclusions as far as its efficiency is concerned....

Trade Nbr. 57 - 2007

Long July 07 Copper : Entered on June 20th - Closed on June 26th.

Long: 3,4270 -- Initial Stop: 3,2500 -- Sold : 3,3210 -- Result: -0,60R

Bullish in Screen I - Pullback to value in Screen II - Entry Set-up 1 in Screen III - Stopped by my trailing stop.

Comments: Good entry but Exit could have been improved somewhat....

Friday, June 22, 2007

Trade Nbr. 56 - 2007

Short Sep 07 E-mini S&P: Entered on June 22th - Closed on June 22th.

Short: 1527.00 -- Initial Stop: 1530.00 -- Covered: 1521.0-- Result: 2,0R

Bearish in Screen I - Pullback to value in Screen II - Entry Set-up 1 in Screen III - Covered as the market reached my objective in Screen II (lower enveloppe).

Comments : Decent trade... After suffering the choppy market earlier in the session I got another signal to short it. Entry was good, stop-loss was much more favorable than the first trade of the day and exit was at my objective.... I should have trailed part of the position but the initial choppiness did not convince me that such a move would occur today....

Trade Nbr. 55 - 2007

Short Sep 07 E-mini S&P: Entered on June 22th - Closed on June 22th.
Short: 1527.25 -- Initial Stop: 1533.25 -- Covered: 1528.25-- Result: -0,16 R

Bearish in Screen I - Pullback to value in Screen II - Entry Set-up 1 in Screen III - Covered as the market was reversing hard after printing a threatening tail in the previous candle.

Comments : Difficult trade... Very choppy market......

Thursday, June 21, 2007

Very good post about the 3 keys to success in the markets

Richard, at http://www.movethemarkets.com/ wrote a very good article about the 3 keys to success in the markets. I highly recommend to read it since it can help anyone realizing what is the path to finding success in the markets.

Here goes the link to the article :

http://www.movethemarkets.com/blog/2007/06/20/3-keys-for-success-trade-naturally/

Enjoy !!

Long Term Trading

From now on I will add some diversification to my short-term trading. I will take Long Term positions and will report them under Trades2.x in my diary. These positions will last anywhere between 1 week and 6/8 weeks. I will post the entry and initial stop as I enter the position and report them once they are closed out. Let's begin with the first such entry realized this am....

Long July 07 Copper : Entered on June 20th.

Long: 3,4270 -- Initial Stop: 3,2500 -- Profit-Objective: 3,9725 -- R/R: 3,08R

Bullish in Screen I - Pullback to value in Screen II - Entry Set-up 1 in Screen III

Tuesday, June 19, 2007

Trade Nbr. 54 - 2007

Long Aug 07 Crude Oil: Entered on June 19th - Closed on June 19th.

Long: 69,55 -- Initial Stop: 69,19 -- Sold: 69,55 -- Result: 0,00R

Bullish in Screen I - At value in Screen II - Entry Set-up 1 in Screen III - Sold as the market reversed the initial push higher.

Comments: Solid trade, did not let a winner turn into a loser....

Wednesday, June 6, 2007

Trade Nbr. 53 - 2007

Long July 07 Crude Oil: Entered on June 6th- Closed on June 6th.

Long: 65,92 -- Initial Stop: 65,62 -- Sold: 65,98 -- Result: 0,20R


Bullish in Screen I - At value in Screen II - Entry Set-up 1 in Screen III - Sold after the previous candle printed a threatening tail and the market failed to follow-through indicating a lack of momentum.


Comments: Solid trade, the market was not willing to move today !!

Monday, June 4, 2007

Trade Nbr. 52 - 2007

Long July 07 Crude Oil: Entered on June 4th- Closed on June 4th. Long: 65,07 -- Initial Stop: 64,70 -- Sold: 65,66 -- Result: 1,60R

Bullish in Screen I - Pullback to value in Screen II - Entry Set-up 1 in Screen III - Sold after the previous candle printed a threatening tail and the market reached its objective at the enveloppe in Screen II.


Comments: Good entry...... Exit was according to the plan BUT I need to force myself to trail part of the position to fish some of those huge opportunities when they arise ......

Thursday, May 24, 2007

Trade Nbr. 51 - 2007

Short June 07 Crude Oil: Entered on May 24th - Closed on May 24th.Short: 65,38 -- Initial Stop: 65,78 -- Covered: 65,16 -- Result: 0,55 R

Bearish in Screen I - Pullback to value in Screen II - Entry Set-up 1 in Screen III - Covered as the market was reversing hard after testing the lower enveloppe in Screen II.

Comments : Poor exit again. The rebound was normal after the previous candle's break. Did not follow my new trailing methodology... Will make sure to apply it in future trades...

Grading Trades nbr. 26 to nbr. 50 - 2007

Let's look at the grading and accumulated Rs for trades nbr. 26 to nbr. 50

Followed by the accumulated Rs curve sofar this year:


Comments :

The trading performance for trades nbr. 26 to nbr. 50 has not been as good as the first 25 trades of the year. I achieved a grade of 1,04 which is o,11 below my trading objective of 1,15. Remember that this mark takes into account the key statistics of a trading system (% Wins, Average Win/Average Loss, Maximum Win/Maximum Loss and 3 Biggest Wins/3 Biggest Losses).

My hit rate decreased to 52% during this period and the average win/loss was as well worse at 1/1,39, reducing the expectancy. Looking back in details I find an overall difficult trading environment for my style during this period and some sub-par position management as the main suspects. I forced some trades and was too quick to take profits in some good trades.

On a positive note I stayed calm and focused after taking 5 losses in a row and knew to make them back and then some fairly quickly without doing any "revenge trading" which is a sign of trading maturity. Another positive point is that I improved my trailing stop methodology and this should allow me to stay into fast moving markets longer....

Monday, May 21, 2007

Trade Nbr. 50 - 2007

Long June 07 Crude Oil: Entered on May 21st- Closed on May 21st.


Long: 66,11 -- Initial Stop: 65,71 -- Sold: 66,99 -- Result: 2,20R

Bullish in Screen I - At value in Screen II - Entry Set-up 2 in Screen III - Sold after the previous candle printed a threatening tail and the market reached its objective at the enveloppe in Screen II.

Comments: Good trade...... Exit was good.